NFL Week 5 Picks

We’ve put out quite a bit of content the past couple days so I decided just to go quick picks this week. Enjoy…

(Home team in CAPS. Lines from SportsBook.com. Gamble at your own risk.)

BROWNS (-4) over Bills

We’re off to a great start already this week!!!

Chiefs (-3) over TITANS

I really want to take the Titans getting points at home but with Jake Locker out that means it’s Ryan Fitzpatrick going up against what has been a truly great Kansas City defense.

DOLPHINS (-3) over Ravens

Ravens on the road < Ravens at home. Also the Dolphins are pretty good.

RAMS (-11.5) over Jaguars

Bill Simmons has this point that he brings up all the time in his picks column where he asks the question essentially should Team A ever be favored by more than a field goal/TD at home regardless of who they’re playing? I would say that applies to the Rams. In what world should they be favored by 11.5 points?

Evidently it’s in a world (this one incidentally) where they play the Jags. I don’t know if I’ll ever take the Jags this season unless something drastic changes. It’s just a fruitless bet.

Patriots (-1) over BENGALS

Such a tough call but the Pats really looked like they turned a corner last week in a game I thought they were going to lose handily. Tom Brady is just so good.

Seahawks (-3) over COLTS

This will be an interesting game because the Colts are playing well and the Seahawks aren’t invincible on the road. I still like Seattle in this one though because of the defense.

Lions (+7) over PACKERS

I like Green Bay to win the game at home coming off of a bye week but a touchdown is too much against what has looked like a pretty good Lions team.

Saints (-1) over BEARS

New Orleans has looked very impressive all around even on defense with our old pal Rob Ryan. Oh yeah and their offense is really good too.

Eagles (+2) over GIANTS

The Giants aren’t a good football team right now, and somehow they’re laying points? Huh?

CARDINALS (+2.5) over Panthers

Arizona is typically a fairly good team at home and I always like to get points with a home team that’s at least competent.

COWBOYS (+9) over Broncos

Speaking of getting points at home…I really like the Cowboys this week in what could be a shootout. Denver is obviously really good and betting against Peyton Manning in a dome is always dicey. But I like Dallas to at least make a game of it and keep it close.

Texans (+6) over 49ERS

I’m not sure if either of these teams is really any good anymore. I’m tempted to take the Niners at home but they haven’t looked particularly good yet this season.

RAIDERS (+5) over Chargers

Philip Rivers and the Chargers look re-born but they’ll have to contend with Terrelle Pryor and a frisky Raiders squad in a late-night game in Oakland. (How’s that for an NFL Network promo?)

FALCONS (-10) over Jets

Because betting on rookie QBs on the road is the worst.

LAST WEEK: 9-5

SEASON: 25-31

BROWNS PICKS: 2-3

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